Sports gambling is often very profitable if anyone know the secrets and techniques typically the “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make income. The most significant secrets that clever money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a excellent example of this. I actually analyzed this Western Virginia vs. Louisville sport, and concluded the fact that West California had the edge in the match. However , My partner and i also understood that there were a lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not bet on this particular game. Here is the analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Virginia vs . Louisville

This video game features all the indications of being one regarding the most effective games connected with the year, having equally teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, equally having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, with Rest of the world Virginia coming backside from becoming down major in the final quarter to winning around overtime.

So what’s the adventure appearance like this year?

In the event that this video game were appearing played with a new neutral field, West Virginia might probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia can be on an unprecedented move. These people haven’t lost since April. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they shed to Las vegas Tech. In the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 PATH games.

These kind of are some very outstanding stats that tilt the scales in favor associated with WVU for tonight’s games. Plus, this added added bonus is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This can not seem to be like quite a bit, but in a close up match-up like this, that excess point will certainly make the big difference between some sort of push in addition to a loss.

But what about Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are usually almost as good while WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their own very last 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS into their previous 10 home game titles.

In addition to if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in your own home since Dec 16, 2003! During this current run Louisville is averaging 49. five points every game in your own home, while averaging only leaving behind 15. seven points each game from home. In case an individual decided not to do the math concepts, that means considering their very own last home reduction they also have averaged beating his or her opposing team by about thirty four points per game.

In addition amazing, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten often the pass on, on average, by 13 items per sport at home given that the year 2003.

Wow… how can you go against that?

Here’s just how…

Almost all of those stats were built up during the 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to very good than great. They have already possessed recent games through which they’ve only scored 28, 23, 24 points. These types of activities weren’t against Oh Street. or Michigan. That they were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

Basically the fact that this is still a good close sport to call up. Yet the things i look to get is West Virginia’s defense to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s no factor to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to mid 20’s. My honest suggestion is usually to lay off this game and not really bet at all. There are usually better activities this weekend with more simple strengths.

The final score on this game was Louisville forty four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to go back a punt for a TD. was the fact that West Virginia’s advantage had not been so big that they can may possibly still win immediately after producing so many mistakes. By not betting on this activity, people significant concerning gambling saved money these people can put to better make use of on approaching games.